A closer look at “future-fit”

Planning for the future is complicated. We don’t know for sure what the future will look like. That means — and forgive me for being a little nerdy here — defining “future fitness” is a probabilistic question: we have to assess “fitness” across a range of possible futures. At the same time, the future also isn’t entirely out of our control. Policy choices we make now can influence which futures are more (or less) likely to come to pass.

Dale Beugin is Research and Analysis Vice President at the Canadian Institute for Climate Choices. He is a member of the working group for the Energy Futures Policy Collaborative.